Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 2985.273856 3222.579364 3462.658277 3723.413541 3998.314553 4279.201929 4587.575076
2025-01-19 2505.474371 2850.407053 3212.432195 3619.510271 4063.269018 4531.140932 5060.505166
2025-01-26 2331.301036 2753.528331 3208.314246 3732.085026 4316.109315 4944.808501 5670.225136
2025-02-02 2180.029791 2658.375141 3185.000845 3803.682575 4506.408760 5275.677778 6177.247493
2025-02-09 2014.143187 2529.911108 3109.280968 3802.308534 4602.616709 5491.794408 6548.219364
2025-02-16 1858.271598 2400.309331 3020.779075 3775.445353 4660.212252 5656.488854 6854.710667
2025-02-23 1760.014496 2330.822527 2995.233135 3815.223995 4789.250361 5898.716530 7247.013534
2025-03-02 1649.758743 2239.415487 2937.128968 3810.524840 4861.150397 6071.066650 7555.982876
2025-03-09 1580.852546 2193.979461 2930.171732 3863.354760 4998.352951 6317.941704 7951.261877
2025-03-16 1477.388090 2099.460645 2858.089314 3832.446265 5031.209893 6438.713548 8196.091726
2025-03-23 1434.053217 2078.513869 2874.643685 3908.285329 5191.953246 6711.201995 8621.451519
2025-03-30 1373.120158 2031.393691 2855.479884 3937.325899 5293.700345 6911.961622 8961.082961
2025-04-06 1303.296002 1970.561813 2817.739709 3942.874075 5367.547015 7081.478168 9267.501970
2025-04-13 1189.652626 1846.112977 2693.589841 3834.550717 5295.998615 7071.141711 9354.140786
2025-04-20 1176.820826 1857.437909 2745.656735 3951.981154 5508.549863 7410.783319 9870.097776
2025-04-27 1148.166249 1845.224748 2765.383966 4026.646459 5666.657826 7683.606869 10305.442879
2025-05-04 1092.248740 1792.226241 2728.444289 4025.213691 5726.085596 7832.823465 10588.065794
2025-05-11 1030.153535 1727.559338 2673.178434 3997.201221 5749.343080 7935.396631 10812.058904
2025-05-18 996.840118 1702.712614 2670.859652 4038.680937 5862.161561 8150.854303 11177.843141
2025-05-25 949.445659 1655.109298 2635.280912 4033.781080 5913.133944 8287.236110 11444.318715
2025-06-01 924.931273 1640.243311 2644.389849 4088.863583 6042.874385 8524.437831 11839.171138
2025-06-08 873.403132 1582.461761 2591.041012 4056.638212 6055.401697 8610.351656 12041.706437
2025-06-15 859.869514 1581.900786 2618.559688 4135.703408 6216.549025 8888.475304 12490.474827